Description

This analysis provides a forecast of DOT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-10-27 0.001382 0.001471 0.001563 0.001664 0.001774 0.001888 0.002018
2024-11-03 0.001221 0.001339 0.001465 0.001610 0.001771 0.001947 0.002153
2024-11-10 0.001146 0.001287 0.001442 0.001625 0.001836 0.002073 0.002361
2024-11-17 0.001069 0.001224 0.001399 0.001610 0.001860 0.002149 0.002509
2024-11-24 0.001022 0.001191 0.001385 0.001625 0.001915 0.002259 0.002698
2024-12-01 0.000960 0.001135 0.001339 0.001596 0.001915 0.002299 0.002802
2024-12-08 0.000912 0.001092 0.001306 0.001581 0.001928 0.002353 0.002923
2024-12-15 0.000871 0.001056 0.001279 0.001570 0.001943 0.002409 0.003045
2024-12-22 0.000839 0.001030 0.001262 0.001569 0.001970 0.002480 0.003188
2024-12-29 0.000805 0.000998 0.001236 0.001555 0.001977 0.002524 0.003297
2025-01-05 0.000777 0.000973 0.001217 0.001550 0.001996 0.002582 0.003425
2025-01-12 0.000743 0.000938 0.001185 0.001524 0.001984 0.002598 0.003496
2025-01-19 0.000716 0.000913 0.001167 0.001520 0.002007 0.002667 0.003652
2025-01-26 0.000672 0.000866 0.001116 0.001469 0.001964 0.002644 0.003675
2025-02-02 0.000656 0.000853 0.001112 0.001483 0.002009 0.002746 0.003884
2025-02-09 0.000631 0.000828 0.001090 0.001469 0.002015 0.002791 0.004012
2025-02-16 0.000617 0.000818 0.001087 0.001482 0.002059 0.002893 0.004229
2025-02-23 0.000591 0.000790 0.001058 0.001457 0.002046 0.002909 0.004314
2025-03-02 0.000571 0.000768 0.001038 0.001443 0.002050 0.002950 0.004438
2025-03-09 0.000553 0.000750 0.001021 0.001433 0.002057 0.002996 0.004573
2025-03-16 0.000539 0.000736 0.001011 0.001432 0.002079 0.003065 0.004748
2025-03-23 0.000522 0.000718 0.000994 0.001420 0.002081 0.003102 0.004872
2025-03-30 0.000508 0.000704 0.000982 0.001415 0.002095 0.003159 0.005031